April 19, 2016 New York Presidential Primary – Discussion

vote1Today we have the Presidential primary in New York State, an important one in the journey to the Presidential nominations.

New York has 95 Republican delegates. They are awarded proportionally, both in the state as a whole, and in the districts. There is a 20% threshold, meaning that a candidate must win at least 20% of the vote in order to be awarded delegates.

The New York Republican primary is closed. Only voters who are registered Republicans may vote.

Real Clear Politics has a good summary of the Republican Party primaries/caucuses: RCP Republican Primaries.

Here are the latest Real Clear Politics polls for New York. Trump has a healthy lead, and it appears that Ted Cruz may be shut out completely from earning delegates, which will happen if he does not win at least 20% of the popular vote.

NewYorkPolls41916

Links to follow the vote tallies (later today):

POLITICO

CNN

FOX NEWS

The state rules, where to vote, etc:

NEW YORK STATE BOARD OF ELECTIONS

In New York City and the counties of Nassau, Suffolk, Westchester, Rockland, Orange, Putnam and Erie, POLLS OPEN AT 6 AM – CLOSE AT 9 PM. In all other counties, POLLS OPEN AT 12 NOON and CLOSE AT 9 PM.

If you are interested in keeping up, The Democratic Party Presidential primary is also being held today. There are 247 delegates at stake, and it is a closed primary.

Here is  a link to the RCP Democratic Delegate Count page:  Democrat Presidential Primary Delegates

RCP Democrat Polls:

NewYorkDemPolls041916

New_York_State_county_map

LIBERTY AND JUSTICE

1027px-Seal_of_New_YorkLIVE STREAM:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_OarcEO_d_A

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29 Responses to April 19, 2016 New York Presidential Primary – Discussion

  1. shiloh1973's avatar shiloh1973 says:

    Thanks for the polls and the links. I really hope that Cruz is shut out, but I fear there will be some shady things going on.

    Liked by 5 people

  2. Stella's avatar stella says:

    NBC Reporter: Cruz to Win Half Of Pennsylvania’s Delegates, “Even If He Comes In Distant Third”

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2016/04/19/nbc_reporter_cruz_to_win_half_of_pennsylvanias_delegates_even_if_he_comes_in_distant_third.html


    Back to Videos
    NBC Reporter: Cruz to Win Half Of Pennsylvania’s Delegates, “Even If He Comes In Distant Third”
    456 Shares
    By Ian Schwartz
    Posted on April 19, 2016

    NBC’s Hallie Jackson reports Cruz has changed his focus to Pennsylvania and making a play for the state’s unbound delegates. Jackson, the network’s Cruz correspondent, said even if Cruz has a third place finish in Pennsylvania’s Republican primary, he’ll win more than half the delegates.

    “It’s very telling that’s Ted Cruz tonight is not in Brooklyn or Manhattan or any of the boroughs or state. He’s in Pennsylvania,” reported Jackson.

    “He’ll be in Philly for his watch party tonight,” Jackson said. “That’s indicative of where he and his campaign see this race going, to Pennsylvania, where they are looking to make a play for these unbound delegates. Even if they come in a distant third, a top campaign aide tells me, they will still, they believe, pick up more than half the delegates there.”

    “They’re looking at more than 30,” Jackson said.

    Pennsylvania allots 71 delegates in the Republican primary; 54 of which are unbound.

    How Pennsylvania selects delegates, via The Green Papers:

    54 of the Commonwealth’s 71 delegates to the Republican National Convention will be directly elected (their names appear on the ballot) in a LOOPHOLE type primary, in which delegates are elected separately from a presidential preference. Each of the 18 Congressional District is allocated 3 delegates (54 = 18 districts × 3 delegates/district). Rule 8.4 of the Republican State Committee of Pennsylvania’s Rules states that all delegates elected by Congressional District “…shall run at large within the Districts and shall not be officially committed to any particular candidate on the ballot.”.

    17 (10 base at-large delegates plus 4 bonus delegates plus 3 RNC delegates) of the Commonwealth’s 71 delegates to the Republican National Convention delegates are bound for the 1st ballot to the candidate who receives the most votes in the Pennsylvania Presidential Primary. The delegates are released if the candidate withdraws, suspends, or terminates his/her campaign or publicly releases his/her delegates. [Rule 8.3]
    Primary

    Liked by 2 people

    • Col.(R) Ken's avatar Col.(R) Ken says:

      Yes we the country class are on it! I have a list of the 3 Trump delegates for my congressional district. And all who show up too vote will see my sign…….

      Liked by 1 person

  3. Stella's avatar stella says:

    Donald casts his vote in the New York primary. Love his answer!

    Liked by 4 people

  4. nyetneetot's avatar nyetneetot says:

    So, we got a daily political thread here now too? Do we get trolls like next door or do we draw straws on who gets to be a Cruz supporter for 24 hours?

    Liked by 2 people

  5. WeeWeed's avatar WeeWeed says:

    Bar, dammit!!

    Do we have a livestream for when he concedes to Kasich?? 😀 😀

    Liked by 4 people

  6. Stella's avatar stella says:

    Well, Trump for sure has the 14 at large NY delegates, and probably most of the rest. Cruz is shut out completely, I think. Kasich may pick up a few.

    Liked by 5 people

  7. WeeWeed's avatar WeeWeed says:

    Seen on the FB – “Mr. Cruz is now enjoying a nice hot cup of New York values.”
    Bwaaaahaaaaahaaaaahaaaa!!!! 😀

    Liked by 4 people

  8. auscitizenmom's avatar auscitizenmom says:

    Liked by 1 person

  9. michellc's avatar michellc says:

    Compare the maps on this page. A lot of green on that map for Bernie, are they going to vote for Hillary in the general?

    http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results

    Liked by 2 people

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