March 22, 2016 Primaries – Discussion

vote1Today we have Republican primary/caucus in two states:

Arizona,  58 delegates, closed primary, winner takes all.

Utah, 40 delegates, closed caucus, proportional, 15% threshold, ceiling is 50%.

There is also a convention in American Samoa, with 9 delegates.

Real Clear Politics has a good summary of the Republican Party primaries/caucuses: RCP Republican Primaries.

Here are the latest Real Clear Politics polls for the states. Trump is ahead in Arizona, and Cruz is ahead in Utah.

Although delegates are distributed proportionally in Utah, if Cruz is able to get more than 50% of the vote, he gets all of the delegates. Also, if any candidates do not get at least 15% of the vote, they do not earn delegates. The Y2 Analytics poll is rumored to be “suspect”, although it is pretty clear that Cruz will do very well in Utah. Just how well is unknown.

ArizonaPollsMarch22

 

UtahPollsMarch22Links to follow the vote tallies (later today):

POLITICO

CNN

FOX NEWS

ARIZONA SofS

NOTE:  Arizona polling places close at 10:00 pm EST (7:00 pm MT). One exception is Navajo County, which closes one hour earlier (they observe Daylight Time).

Utah Republican caucus closes at 11:00 pm MDT (1:00 am EDT).

Results from American Samoa won’t be in until sometime tomorrow, as they are 7 hours later than EDT.

This entry was posted in 2016 Presidential Race, Politics, Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

42 Responses to March 22, 2016 Primaries – Discussion

  1. doodahdaze's avatar Howie says:

    Castro…America is horrible…Obama agrees.
    http://www.weeklystandard.com/article/2001662

    Liked by 3 people

  2. Cetera's avatar cetera5 says:

    Did my part, voted for Trump. Used the electronic machines to see how they worked. Everything looked good, very simple, large selection size even without the large font option.

    When I made my selection, it printed a confirmation “receipt” that is kept for recount purposes should it be necessary. There is a window you can see the reciept through with either direct vision, a privacy screen that magnifies the receipt and prevents anyone from the side from seeing, or an opaque panel you can close entirely for ultimate privacy safeguard.

    The voting machine consoles were set up in little easel cubicles, no booths. There was also the option for paper ballots and what looked like more traditional booths, and a place where you could drop off your early vote if you hadn’t mailed it in.

    So far, I’m very pleased with Arizona and the way they handle things.

    Wife and I both voted Trump. Brother voted for Cruz early a few weeks ago, and after I think I finally convinced him.

    Liked by 8 people

  3. nyetneetot's avatar nyetneetot says:

    Jaw dropped….

    “American Samoa”

    ???

    Liked by 2 people

  4. czarowniczy's avatar czarowniczy says:

    TV tabloid news programs are hammering on Trump University as a fraud perpetrated by The Donald. Talking heads going on about how so many ex-students failed the course, didn’t get anything from the course and are left with monetary lisses and/or massive debt. Hmmmm…wonder how many of them had the same problems with regular college?
    They should consider themselves lucky, at least none of them privvy to alleged fiscal fraud connected with the canidate ended up dead in a DC park.

    Liked by 2 people

  5. ImpeachEmAll's avatar ImpeachEmAll says:

    Happy thoughts while awaiting tonight’s results.

    Liked by 1 person

  6. ImpeachEmAll's avatar ImpeachEmAll says:

    Long night awaiting Primary results.
    Brewing some extra coffee and tea.

    Arizona · 58 delegates
    Last poll closes at 10:00 PM ET

    Utah · 40 delegates
    Last poll closes at 1:00 AM ET

    Liked by 1 person

  7. Stella's avatar stella says:

    Trump on track to win barely enough delegates for GOP nomination

    http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/mar/21/donald-trump-on-track-to-win-barely-enough-delegat/

    If Donald Trump can keep up his winning streak, he will head to the Republican National Convention in Cleveland with just barely enough delegates to win the presidential nomination outright, avoiding a messy fight that has all sides of the GOP wary of the consequences.

    Even if he is just shy of the 1,237 delegates needed to clinch the nomination, Mr. Trump will still likely walk away with a first-ballot win after he sways enough uncommitted delegates to back him for the sake of avoiding a contested convention, one prominent Republican prognosticator said.

    We’ll see!

    Liked by 2 people

  8. lovely's avatar lovely says:

    Ut Oh! Maricopa County cut their voting places from over 200 to 60. I call BS in Arizona. People who have been in line for over two hours and are still an hour away from voting.

    Like

  9. Stella's avatar stella says:

    First numbers coming in from Arizona. Donald at more than 45% with 39% of the vote counted.

    Liked by 2 people

  10. Stella's avatar stella says:

    Lead is holding with 46% of the vote in.

    Like

  11. lovely's avatar lovely says:

    AP projects Trump wins AZ!

    Liked by 1 person

  12. ImpeachEmAll's avatar ImpeachEmAll says:

    Where’s a Trump volunteer when one is needed?

    Getting out the word is as important as getting out the vote.

    Yesenia Alteres, 18, waited for more than 20 minutes in a line that wrapped around the Maryvale Church of the Nazarene in west Phoenix. Alteres was prepared to cast her first-ever vote in a presidential race, unaware that as a registered independent her vote won’t be tallied in the presidential primary.

    http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/03/22/arizona-primary-turnout-trump-cruz-kasich-clinton-sanders/82134252/

    Liked by 1 person

    • michellc's avatar michellc says:

      Not saying it’s the case with this person, but sometimes people don’t listen. Oklahoma is a closed primary state, I told everyone I talked to they must be a registered Republican to vote and told them the deadline to change their registration. A few family members and friends I knew were registered either Independent or Democrat I reminded several times, calling them and telling them the deadline is near.
      Then primary day came and some of them called me and said they couldn’t vote or that Trump wasn’t on their ballot. I wanted to slap them upside the head, but instead I told them that I told them that over and over, why didn’t they listen?

      Liked by 2 people

  13. ImpeachEmAll's avatar ImpeachEmAll says:

    Cruz crossed the line;
    not an intelligent move.
    “Sorry”, does not get it.

    Like

  14. ImpeachEmAll's avatar ImpeachEmAll says:

    Why do I think of Jenny
    in Forest Gump movie,
    when I see this picture?

    Like

  15. ImpeachEmAll's avatar ImpeachEmAll says:

    2% reporting in Utah; but
    Cruz leading Trump 3 to 1.

    Honestly thought Mormons
    more intelligent than this.

    Like

    • ImpeachEmAll's avatar ImpeachEmAll says:

      It only gets worse.

      33% reporting, its
      70.2% to 13.9%

      Never thought of
      Mormons as socialist.

      Will have to rethink
      my thinking of them.

      Like

      • Col.(R) Ken's avatar Col.(R) Ken says:

        Yeah, agree. Maybe the Danites were out and about…….

        Liked by 1 person

      • michellc's avatar michellc says:

        There’s some testiness going on in the primary thread at the neighbors.

        I guess some of us have thicker skin than others. When Trump supporters say Texans and North Texas aka Oklahoma are stupid for voting for Cruz, I agree, although I bristle a little at the title of North Texas, that’s only down South and the last time I visited there Spanish speaking brown people were everywhere. lol

        I can see my state’s warts, just like Texans can see their warts, Utah and LDS mirrors must lie to them and tell them they have no warts. BTW if I had to choose a denomination for myself it would probably be Baptist, although I’ve given up membership in a Church, but I more closely relate to Baptist and they have warts as well.

        Liked by 1 person

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